Daily News Update, Nov. 29, 2007

What's happening with the
Farm Bill?
By Jose G. Peņa, Professor and Extension Economist-Management
The House passed its version of Farm Bill 2007 on July 27 and the Senate
Ag Committee approved its version on Oct. 25, 2007. But final passage
bogged down in the Senate with almost no progress when Congress broke
for the two-week Thanksgiving recess on Nov. 20 after a failed vote for
cloture (limit further debate and bring the bill for a vote).
While some contend
that the Farm Bill is dead until after the 2008 elections, others feel
that passage before the end of the year is possible if the Senate only
addresses amendments which are germane to the Farm Bill. Senators have
filed close to 270 amendments that they want to try to attach to the
Farm Bill.
Amendments include
a wide range of issues, ranging from correcting the alternative minimum
tax, to eliminating estate taxes, through a whole host of other issues,
such as banning issuing of drivers licenses to illegal immigrants.Most
of these 270 plus amendments are not germane to the Farm Bill.
In terms of the
farm sector, part of this stalemate is associated with the various
interest groups wanting more money for their programs. Meanwhile, the
agricultural sector remains in limbo.
Agricultural
production is essential to the well being of the nation and it is a high
risk business that needs assistance to manage risk. In terms of
planning, even with currently high commodity prices, provisions in the
Farm Bill play a dominant role, from what crops to plant, through legal
operating issues, to land rents, banking and financial management.
Agricultural
producers and the agribusiness sector, which supports the agricultural
sector, won't have government-provided risk management information to
incorporate into plans.
It appears
unfortunate that the Senate is attempting to correct other problems with
amendments to this bill, especially since many of the House and Senate
Ag Committee provisions are similar and discussing/resolving the
differences could make passage possible before the end of the year.
While the Senate Ag Committee version boosts spending by more than $4
billion in nutrition and conservation titles and the structure/titles
are somewhat different than in the House version, it essentially retains
the farm safety net concept (although modified) as in the 2002 Farm Bill
and the House Version of the 2007 Farm Bill.
"Safety net" concepts, such as retaining direct payment programs,
extending the market price safety net, retaining base acres, allowing
the establishment of base acres for newly-eligible crops and adjusting
some target prices/loan rates to make values more in balance with other
crops are retained in these versions.
Go to
http://www.nationalaglawcenter.org/assets/crs/RL34228.pdf for
a comparison of
the current law, House and Senate versions of Farm Bills.
If the basic structure of the bill remains intact and the traditional
provisions are funded at close to current levels, the new Farm Bill
will, essentially, provide the same risk management protection provided
by the 2002 Farm Bill.
Average Crop Revenue Option
Probably the biggest conceptual difference between the House and Senate
Ag Committee versions is that the Senate Committee version proposes the
establishment of a new Average Crop Revenue option for farmers,
including fixed payment rates, recourse loans and a state-level revenue
program for covered commodities, including peanuts.
This change
effectively creates two commodity titles. Farmers will have to decide
(on a one-time basis for the life of the Farm Bill) if they want the
current commodity program or the statewide Average Crop Revenue (ACR)
option. Farmers would have to give up their current direct payments and
receive a $15/acre direct payment, regardless of crop, if they enrolled
in ACR.
While specific
benefits of this option have to be developed, supporters think that a
significant number of farmers would select this option because they
expect to have better protection if markets collapse. For farmers who
sign up for ACR, the prohibition on planting fruits, vegetables and
other specialty crops on base acres would be eliminated.
Passage of Farm Bill?
There really needs to be some farm program legislation in place before
the end of the year but we are still a long way from a final Farm Bill.
The Senate must pass its version of the Farm Bill and a conference
committee between the House and Senate must resolve any differences
between the two versions. The President has to sign the legislation and
it will probably take several months to translate the law into specific
implementing regulations.
While a Senate vote for cloture failed on Nov. 20, measures are being
taken during this Thanksgiving recess to limit amendments which are
germane to the Farm Bill when Congress reconvenes.
Consideration is being given to allow a few non-germane proposals
dealing with the estate tax and the alternative minimum tax. This may
mean that a new motion for cloture could pass as early as next week.
The process could be shortened significantly if the 2002 bill was
extended. Keep in mind, however, that when projecting program spending
levels for the new bill, projected costs are compared to the costs of
the current bill over the last five years.
If passage of the
new Farm Bill is delayed into 2008, calculations would include 2007,
with a current estimate of total direct government payments of $13.6
billion, down $2.2 billion from $15.8 billion in 2006 and down $10.8
billion from $24.4 billion in 2005.
According to Sen. Kent Conrad, D-N.D., If 2007 was included in the
five-year average, it would "drastically reduce" the amount of money
available to build a Farm Bill.
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